Название: Losing Control: Global Security in the Twenty-first Century, Fourth EditionАвтор: Paul Rogers
Издательство: Pluto Press
Год: 2021
Страниц: 344
Язык: английский
Формат: epub
Размер: 10.19 MB
'Outstanding ... combines a glimpse behind the security screens with a sharp analysis of the real global insecurities - growing inequality and unsustainability' - New Internationalist Written in the late 1990s, Losing Control was years, if not decades, ahead of its time, predicting the 9/11 attacks, a seemingly endless war on terror and the relentless increase in revolts from the margins and bitter opposition to wealthy elites. Now, more than two decades later and in an era of pandemics, climate breakdown and potential further military activity in the Middle East, Asia and Africa, Paul Rogers has revised and expanded the original analysis, pointing to the 2030s and '40s as the decades that will see a showdown between a bitter, environmentally wrecked and deeply insecure world and a possible world order rooted in justice and peace.
Moreover, the development of biological and chemical weapons and the proliferation of ballistic missiles is seen to represent a means by which weaker states can challenge the power of the stronger, a challenge that an existing nuclear weapon state may consider requires a nuclear response.
While nuclear and other weapons of mass destruction will be major features of the coming decades, the main methods by which the world’s powerful states, especially the United States, seek to maintain their control of international security are through the appropriate use of conventional forces. Threats are seen to stem from the revival of what is seen as a belligerent Russia, or of an increasingly powerful China, together with ‘revolts from the margins’ whether from so-called ‘rogue states’ or sub-state and trans-state actors motivated by ideological or religious ideas including neo-Maoism or militant Islam.
By the late 1990s, the conventional view in military and security circles, especially in the United States and within NATO, was that the early years of the new century would present challenges to US global power, but these would not be excessive and could be readily met. If anything, the concern among the US military and the neo-conservative wing of the Republican Party in Bill Clinton’s second term was that the United States was not fulfilling its mission, as the world’s sole superpower. Even so, there was essentially a Westernised world system taking hold in a unipolar world in which one state, the United States, would be dominant. It would be possible to keep the violent peace and a stable international order would be maintained with hugely powerful military forces available if need be. A peaceful century built on the Western idea of a liberal free-market democracy was forming. This was a comforting view but it turned out to be grievously wrong. The signs of a different world disorder were already there but were very largely ignored.
Contents:
Preface
Abbreviations
1. A Violent Peace
2. Learning from the Cold War
3. Taming the Jungle
4. A Different Security Paradigm
5. Losing Control
6. A War-Promoting Hydra
7. The Thirty-Year War
8. ISIS and After
9. Lost Decade
10. Future Possible
Notes
Bibliography
Index
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